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The Election After This One

Last week, on Comments Please, under a post by Warren Kinsella, commenter "Michael Watkins, A Conservative In Vancouver" wrote (at 1/5/06 2:27pm):

If Harper gets a minority he's just one election away then from a majority. He's been smart enough to keep the crazies in the party quiet not only during this election but also for most of the last minority parliament - there is therefore no reason to believe that he won't continue to hold them quiet, deliver on many of his own promises, and look like a hero in time for the next election. Then, with a majority under his belt, the gloves will come off.

That's one way to look at it. On the other hand, perhaps...

The Liberals are just one term in opposition away from reinventing themselves with new leadership capable of competently, creatively and honestly addressing the needs and concerns of the majority of Canadians who occupy the political centre. Then, the Conservatives may have difficulty holding on to power.

One can hope, anyway.

UPDATE: Or, as Brett Lamb wrote:

Well, I think the growing consensus is that a Conservative minority kept in check by a strong NDP would punish the Liberals just enough, force them to dump Martin and really clean house. That would also remind everyone why voting for the Conservatives is a bad idea so that the Liberals could form the government in the following election, forcing the Conservatives to dump Harper and really clean house.

But then, I'm an optimist. I thought the Star Wars prequels were going to be really good.

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